UNIVERSITY OF BUCHAREST
FACULTY OF PHYSICS

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2024-11-24 22:11

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Conference: Bucharest University Faculty of Physics 2024 Meeting


Section: Atmosphere and Earth Science; Environment Protection


Title:
Study of greenhouse gases in Romania in the period 1970-2021 in a European and global context


Authors:
Alexandru TUDOR (1,2), Alin SCARLAT (1,2), Gabriela IORGA (3,1)


*
Affiliation:
1) University of Bucharest, Faculty of Physics, 077125 Bucharest, Romania

2) "INCAS - National Institute for Aerospace Research “Elie Carafoli”

3) University of Bucharest, Faculty of Chemistry, 030018 Bucharest, Romania


E-mail
tudor.alexandru@incas.ro


Keywords:
greenhouse gases, Romania, EDGAR database, GMI database, statistical methods


Abstract:
Greenhouse gases have a considerable influence on the climate and are one of the most pressing problems facing modern society. This study investigates the evolution and trends of emissions of three major greenhouse gases: methane, carbon dioxide and nitrous oxide in Romania during the period 1970-2021 and places the results in a European and global context. Data available in the EDGAR (The Emissions Database for Global Atmospheric Research) and GMI (Global Methane Initiative) databases from various activity sectors were used for analysis. To examine trends and variations in greenhouse gas emissions, the Mann Kendal test combined with the Sen's Slope method and CPA (Change-point analysis) were applied. The study highlights the levels and status of greenhouse gas emissions in Romania and identified periods of increase or decrease in emissions that can be associated with economic, technological, or social changes in a local, European or global context. The analysis by activity sector revealed the different contributions to the total emissions, underlining the importance of adapting environmental policies to the specifics of each sector. These outcomes are essential for understanding the impact of human activities on the environment and for developing effective policies. The present study also contributes to the understanding of the dynamics of greenhouse gas emissions at the Romanian scale compared to their evolution at the European and global scale.